From the 100 schedule data, the standard deviation in rank was used to calculated the 95% rank and determine the outliers. There were 6 outliers. No one has a 3 sigma outlier schedule.
2389 has an easy schedule. Their average rank is 75 with a standard deviation of 18, but predicted rank is 36.
Here are the 6 teams with outlier schedules
Code:
Avg StDev Actual
1986 5 8 23
1523 23 16 56
3476 25 16 59
1410 32 19 76
116 35 23 92
2389 75 18 36