Quote:
Originally Posted by Abhishek R
Using the OPR's recorded in the FRC Tracker app (This is all from CMP), I got the following total combined OPR's for each Einstein alliance:
Archimedes: 179.9
Curie: 189.9
Galileo: 146.7
Newton: 185.9
Obviously, OPR told us nothing about anything at all, as usual.
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While the OPRs from the individual divisions may not have been useful, probably because of differences in division-wide strategies (e.g. whether there are FCSs), the OPRs are very useful in predicting matches within divisions. I haven't checked our results yet, but it looks like our match predictions in Curie were correct in 80% of the matches. That's statistically well beyond significantly different from pure chance.
Also, OPRs are very useful when drawn from a common pool such as a regional or division. Using direct quantitative statistics in our two regionals, we were able to predict the winners of 6 of 7 elimination rounds in both regionals. The only exceptions were 1) the 4 vs 5 round (obviously expected to be the closest most unpredictable) and 2) when the top alliance suffered a mechanical failure for two matches.
Anyone who ignores the predictive power of OPR or other statistics does so at their own peril.