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Unread 11-05-2013, 22:57
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Re: An improvement to OPR

Quote:
Originally Posted by Citrus Dad View Post
Note that the OPR parameters are like any other statistical measure and have standard errors ... I wouldn't bother calculating them on the fly at a competition. (The CCWM and DPRs appear to be even less reliable).
Obviously having your scouts get better data is the best solution, but there really is value in having the numbers as unreliable as they may be. Even if OPR for each phase of the game is +/- 50% from what that teams scores, that's often close enough to figure out what your match strategy should be.

Also, DPR may be less reliable than OPR, but I've been told too many times that it's totally meaningless. It isn't. It just doesn't mean what people think that it means. It's purely how many points your opponent scores. So last year, when we were a robot that scored just enough points at championship to make it so that we were better off playing offense than defense our DPR was awful, while this year our DPR was great because opposing alliances were forced to defend us, and therefore have one less robot scoring.