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Unread 03-06-2013, 11:54
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Re: IRI Rules and Team Invitation List

Quote:
Originally Posted by IKE View Post
So, the median for top OPR for MAR was around 35, and the average qual score was about 106 (roughly 3x the median which makes a lot of sense)
The median of MSC OPRs was about 45 and the average score was about 130 (again about 3X the median which makes sense).

The Median for IRI appears to be about 60.... If it follows the same trend, we could see average scores of 180 points... This will get very very interesting....
I would be highly skeptical of that, even ignoring my skepticism of OPR as a robot metric. Even if all teams were capable of repeating (or building on) their peak performance, once we hit this level of competition their are overlaps in the points scored between robots. Namely autonomous discs (only one 7-disc scorer per alliance), climbing points (only one "inside" climber per alliance), and potentially even the 45-disc limit (especially when FCS are involved).

I'd be highly skeptical of an average score that high for that reason alone, but add in fact that some teams will have new drivers/key personnel, many machines are worked past their limit and will suffer issues, and general regression towards the mean (given it was peak performance that was being used) and I think it's almost certain we see lower average scores than 180.
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