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Unread 22-02-2014, 18:34
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Re: New FRC Stat: aWAR

Quote:
Originally Posted by DampRobot View Post
If I'm interpreting your P-value results correctly, 2008 and 2010 aWARs were really bad predictors of 2013 success, while 2009 aWARs were reasonably good? From the games, that's pretty much the opposite of what I'd expect. Or am I misinterpreting your stat program's outputs?
2009 was statistically significant, but not necessarily what a normal person would call a good predictor on its own. It made up 5% of the prediction, which only predicted about 50% of the 2013 results.