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Originally Posted by Abrakadabra
Dan - Thanks for the data!
In case anyone is wondering, penalties affected the match outcome in 22.97% of the cases. Just sayin'...
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Thanks Dan!
Almost all of those cases at GSD were Day 1 where ~30% of matches swung on penalties whereas Day 2 had just 1 case out of 19 matches based on Dan's spreadsheet. As expected, Day 2 also saw higher average scores and lower average penalties as teams got better at playing the game.
I checked last year's full season data with the expectation that around 10% of qualification matches would have had different winners without penalties. It was actually just 3.5% over the season and basically the same at 3.2% during 2013 week 1.
The impact of penalties during Day 2 quals at GSD appears to be comparable to last season.