Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr. B
Yes, Look at the average score of the teams in the 16-24 in points scored.
Say 25 x 3 + 47
Now consider all that will decline the invite
Does seem low but I believe unless the acceptance rate gets above 90%
Who knows
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I believe you are calculating how many points the 50th or 60th team will have. If 47 is the cutoff to get into the district championship it is not the 24the best team. The 24th team currently has 49pts (my unofficial tracking) and most teams haven't played a second event.
If you assume everyone who hasn't played 2 districts is able to repeat their performance the 24th best team will have 86 pts. before district championship. Realistically, this will be probably be closer to 80. If they repeat this at the District Championship they would have 200 pts. (80 + 3x40).
The MAR district simulation using last year’s data and this year’s ranking scheme had the 20th best team with 163pts and 24th with 134pts. Given the calculation above and the MAR data, I would expect to need between 150 and 170pts to qulify for Worlds depending on acceptance rate as well as number of auto qualify teams ending up in the top 24.
-Eric