Quote:
Originally Posted by Brandon_L
Scott, is there a significance to the teams highlighted in green? MAR CMP mathematical lock or something?
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Antonio covered it - but keep in mind that I haven't (nor has Antonio to my knowledge) been keeping track of tiebreakers, so tied teams may or may not be in the right order. The MAR site has the tiebreakers as they currently stand. We'll likely be updating the sheet as the event progresses this weekend, should have a very good idea of the cutoff after alliance selections, since ~70% of the points will have been allocated by then.
Bridgewater is also the largest event, and will only yield and average of ~24 pts/team (not sure if 136 is going to show up or not). Clifton gave away 29.16 pts/team - which is basically a 2nd year team bonus for everyone who attended.
Looking at point accumulations for the 8 teams attending Bridgewater as a 3rd event - I would expect 6 of them to be eating up elimination points. That means the cutoff at #55 is probably going to be a good bit lower than the current median of ~55 points. Did 5 minutes of lazy point modeling, came out with 49 points for the #55 team.
After that - it's all up to declines and where the CA winner from Bridgewater is sitting in the standings (433 is probably barely going to make the cut via points once we see a few declines).
If anybody has information about teams planning to skip MAR CMP, I can add that to the sheet so we have a good projection. As of now all I've seen is that 103 is planning on skipping.