Quote:
Originally Posted by Steven Smith
my confusion is how you can use qualification seed alone, to generate a metric that tells you if someone is artificially seeded too high (high seed, but low difficulty matches). This "weak team" is going to play out in your calculations as a "difficult team" because they are seeded high.
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You're right, it is a bit circular to use past QS to evaluate past QS (it's slightly more valid to use it to predict future QS). My intuition is there is still some signal in the analysis, and that as the regional progresses, the results will converge to something reliable. That said, another score could be used just as well. I haven't taken the time to do an analysis (we just came up with the idea during the pick list meeting on Saturday night).