Quote:
Originally Posted by themccannman
I said top 24 because only those teams are guaranteed to play in elims. Chances are that no back up teams will be called, or only 1 - 2 at most so I figured it wasn't worth projecting elims based on robots that probably won't play.
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I have a day job, so I haven't put the numbers together -- and someone's probably already done the analysis somewhere anyway -- but I'd be *very* surprised if the 24 teams with the top OPR in the "regular season" are always the teams in elims. Probably a large percentage of them, sure. But even if you discount high-OPR teams that break during quals & therefore aren't available for elims, not all of those teams end up in elims.
Also: I don't think that the 4th alliance robot should be considered a "backup". They're going to be a full-fledged member of the alliance, and I would expect (especially on the top 2 or 3 alliances) that there's going to be very little difference between the 2nd & 3rd pick. Seems to me that there's a lot of room for picking for varying tactics, not just emergencies. Having said that, I've never been to IRI, so I'll ask -- how often does that 4th robot not play unless one of the first 3 are broken?