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Unread 25-04-2014, 00:39
Unsung FIRST Hero
Greg Marra Greg Marra is offline
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FRC #5507 (Robotic Eagles)
Team Role: Mentor
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Rookie Year: 2005
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 2,030
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Statistical Predictions

Has anyone run predictive statistical models (a la Nate Silver) to predict later season competitions based on earlier results successfully?

I attempted to build a simple model that predicted Curie based on summing for each alliance each team's best Event OPR from earlier in the season. It scored 21/81 based on Thursday's matches. You'd be better off taking the opposite of my model by a long shot!