[Joseph1825]

Disclaimer: When I say throwing a match would be helpful I don't mean that you should do it, I just wanted to know if statistically there are times where you would be in a better position if you threw the match.

Now back to the thread.

Thanks inkling! That's exactly what I was looking for. You can make some interesting observations from those graphs, for instance, I didn't realize how much more likely a #1 seed is to win than a #2 seed. I also think that the graph does show that there is really no situation where throwing a match would be helpful.* And even if it would be, most good teams would see that you threw the match and wouldn't pick you anyway.


*(unless maybe you are #15 and you can drop exactly 2 spots.)