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Unread 13-01-2015, 16:53
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Dan Petrovic Dan Petrovic is offline
Got my degree and ready for more!
FRC #0166 (Chop Shop)
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Re: Score Approximation

I'll throw my hat in one this one. I've been pretty good about predicting outcomes in the past, so I'll let that run come to a screeching halt here.

My numbers are significantly lower because a stack of 6 with a RC and litter is worth 42 points. That's a lot of work for 42 points. Some of the earlier posters are suggesting that it will happen multiple times on average in the first two weeks. I don't think that's the case.

Week 1 Highest Seed Qual Average: 70. Much more conservative than others, but I believe that a team's performance on the field will largely be determined by driver experience. We can probably expect a lot of scores to be in the 10-30 point range for the first two weeks. Of course, there will be teams that complete their robots on time or build two identical machines to give their drivers experience.
Week 3: 85. By this week, an "ideal strategy" will have emerged and teams will be replicating that as much as possible.
Week 5: 95.

Week 1 Playoff Win: 100. There is a large difference because alliances will be tailored so that the teams work well together. Qualifying rounds have the capacity for one-dimensional alliances, Elimination rounds won't have that same problem.
Week 3: 120. Again with the "ideal strategy".
Week 5: 135.

Einstein Finals: 220. Ideal strategy coupled with teams that can score with impunity.

Also, I fully expect 469 to build something that shocks the world like they did in 2010. We'll see them on Einstein barring some catastrophic failure.
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Last edited by Dan Petrovic : 13-01-2015 at 16:55.