Quote:
Originally Posted by AGPapa
I checked out the past distribution of WLT points to see if it actually was normal in the past. I've attached a graph of the distribution of WLT points in MAR for the past three seasons. (And also a comparison to a normal distribution with the parameters observed the past three years).
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What did you use as your standard deviation for the normal distribution? Did you use the standard deviation of the observed data from previous years?