Quote:
Originally Posted by Citrus Dad
The top 6 teams are easy ahead of the field. If the trend holds this will be the most lopsided year for which stats are avaliable. I'll post analysis in a couple weeks after almost all the teams have competed.
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Congrats to 1114 on such a strong opening season.
I suspect it will be similar to 2010 as far as distribution goes. The top scoring team that year could on occasion, get into the 20s. In the next tier were a few robots that coupld regularly contribute in a manner worth about 8-9 pts. The median robot contribution was 0.8 pts/match.
FIRST games historically have a ratio of top teams to median around 6x to 10x depneding on the game. I didn't run the numbers last year, but I heard it was a historically low of about 4X. 2010 was around the 10X. I would expect 2015 to be close to 10X year as well, but likely not much higher as it gets harder to get higher scores as you go due to easy scoring material going first.
As others have said, there are a handful of teams that will likely get OPRs above 100, with a lot more knocking on the door to 100 (around 90-ish) by season end.
Current average is at about 15 with median around 13. I suspect the median will go up to about 14 or 15 by the end of the season, and the average might get to 17.
If the median gets to 15, then 10X is 150 which is doable, but quite tough to do on a regular basis.