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Unread 21-03-2015, 08:44
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Re: 2015 Waterloo Regional

Quote:
Originally Posted by Racer26 View Post
I can't be the only one who's noticed the sheer depth of this field.

29th seed in Waterloo has a QA high enough to be 4th alliance captain at Palmetto in week 1. Or 2nd alliance captain at NYC.
To be fair, part of that is Waterloo and part of that is week number. Waterloo's #29 (of 30) 57.1 QA would get you #32 of 39 in Central IL right now, #35 of 39 at Purdue, #39 of 40 at West MI, and #40 of 40 at St. Joe's. Yes, last place out of 40. Now that's nuts (#39 has 57.33).

I'm also not sure that QA is really a good proxy for depth, particularly after teams have played 10 matches in a field of 30. (The other events are at 8-9 matches each now--round of applause to the Waterloo field crew.) I haven't done any math to that effect, but Waterloo actually has the lowest #25 OPR of the events I mentioned, losing to next-to-last Central IL by almost 10 points (18.41 to 27.58).

Without knowing, I'd suspect that QAs might be less about depth all the way through and more about the density from the top being spread through their qual alliances. And it is really, really dense at the top: the #1 OPR at St. Joe's would put you #5 at Waterloo. I'd be interested in a fuller analysis, though. Let me think about the stats options.
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