Here's an updated projection after this past week's events. There are now 2 district events remaining. This uses is the same methodology as before.
Code:
Best-case points to make it to district cmp: 44
Worst-case points to make it to district cmp: 89
Best estimate: 54
{'bubble': 44, 'out': 40, '~in': 33, '~out': 20, 'in': 15}
0 in 1983 - Skunk Works Robotics
1 in 4488 - Shockwave
2 in 1318 - Issaquah Robotics Society
3 in 1595 - Dragons
4 in 2471 - Team Mean Machine
5 in 2635 - Lake Monsters
6 in 3238 - Cyborg Ferrets
7 in 4061 - SciBorgs
8 in 4911 - CyberKnights
9 in 3663 - CPR - Cedar Park Robotics
10 in 2907 - Lion Robotics
11 in 2046 - Bear Metal
12 in 5111 - SaxonBots
13 in 1540 - Flaming Chickens
14 in 2557 - SOTAbots
15 ~in 4450 - Olympia Robotics Federation
16 ~in 3674 - 4-H Clover Bots
17 ~in 2930 - Glacier Peak Sonic Squirrels
18 ~in 5468 - Retro-bots
19 ~in 3711 - Iron Mustang
20 ~in 492 - Titan Robotics Club
21 ~in 3826 - SkyNet Robotics North West
22 ~in 4918 - The Roboctopi
23 ~in 2147 - CHUCK
24 ~in 5779 - CB Tech
25 ~in 4205 - ROBOCUBS
26 ~in 2605 - Sehome Seamonsters
27 ~in 2550 - Skynet
28 ~in 3588 - the Talon
29 ~in 2522 - Royal Robotics
30 ~in 2944 - Titanium Tigers
31 ~in 4513 - Circuit Breakers
32 ~in 1510 - Wildcats
33 ~in 3586 - Pride in the Tribe-Caveman Rob...
34 ~in 4980 - Canine Crusaders
35 ~in 2149 - CV Bearbots
36 ~in 3218 - Panther Robotics
37 ~in 4132 - Scotbots
38 ~in 3789 - On Track Robotics
39 ~in 948 - NRG (Newport Robotics Group)
40 ~in 4608 - Duct Tape Warriors
41 ~in 4125 - Confidential
42 ~in 2733 - Pigmice
43 ~in 4915 - Spartronics
44 ~in 3787 - Wild Robotocats
45 ~in 1425 - Error Code Xero
46 bubble 5495 - Aluminati
47 ~in 3574 - HIGH-TEKERZ
48 ~out 4043 - NerdHerd
49 bubble 5683 - RAVE
50 ~out 3812 - Bits & Bots
51 ~out 3681 - Robo-Raiders
52 ~out 2910 - Jack in the Bot
53 bubble 5748 - Adna Pirates
54 ~out 2555 - RoboRams
55 ~out 1778 - Chill Out..!
56 ~out 3968 - Higher Voltage
57 ~out 1294 - Top Gun
58 ~out 2928 - Viking Robotics
59 ~in 2521 - SERT
60 ~out 3693 - GearHead Pirates
61 ~out 2976 - Spartabots
62 ~out 488 - Team XBot
63 bubble 955 - CV Robotics
64 ~out 4051 - Sabin-Sharks
65 bubble 2915 - Riverdale Robotics/Pandamonium
66 out 2811 - StormBots
67 out 4654 - Mountaineers
68 bubble 4469 - R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial In...
69 out 4309 - 4-H Botsmiths
70 bubble 3024 - My Favorite Team
71 out 753 - High Desert Droids
72 out 2923 - Aggies
73 bubble 2990 - Hotwire
74 out 3220 - Mechanics of Mayhem
75 bubble 3049 - BremerTron
76 out 949 - Wolverine Robotics
77 out 2412 - Robototes
78 out 4681 - Murphy's law
79 bubble 3221 - KM Royals
80 out 3876 - Mabton LugNutz
81 bubble 5450 - Intergalactic Order of Robots
82 bubble 997 - Spartan Robotics
83 out 4089 - Stealth Robotics
84 out 3268 - Vahallabots
85 out 2903 - NeoBots
86 bubble 2093 - Bowtie Brigade
87 out 4662 - Tribal Tech
88 bubble 3393 - Horns of Havoc
89 out 4726 - Robo Dynasty
90 out 4180 - Iron Riders
91 out 4082 - Ranching Robots
92 out 2411 - Rebel @lliance
93 bubble 957 - SWARM
94 bubble 3219 - TREAD
95 out 2660 - Pengbots
96 bubble 4057 - Klamath Basin Robotics
97 out 3673 - C.Y.B.O.R.G. Seagulls
98 bubble 4127 - LoggerBots
99 bubble 956 - Eagle Cybertechnology
100 bubble 360 - The Revolution
101 bubble 5085 - LakerBots
102 bubble 4060 - S.W.A.G.
103 out 4542 - Titanium Talons
104 out 4120 - Jagwires
105 out 3636 - Generals
106 bubble 2906 - Sentinel Prime Robotics
107 bubble 3237 - Bionic Braves
108 bubble 1359 - Scalawags
109 out 4683 - Full-metal Robotics
110 bubble 5588 - Holy Names Academy
111 bubble 2192 - YAK Attack
112 bubble 2374 - Crusader Bots
113 out 3223 - RetroBotics
114 out 4495 - Tigers
115 out 4030 - NullPointerException
116 out 4173 - Bulldogs
117 out 4077 - M*A*S*H
118 bubble 2980 - The Whidbey Island Wild Cats
119 bubble 2929 - JAGBOTS
120 bubble 3781 - Cardinal 4-H Robotics
121 out 4512 - BEARbots
122 out 2148 - Mechaknights
123 out 3070 - Team Pronto
124 out 4682 - Brave Bots
125 out 4131 - Iron Patriots
126 bubble 1432 - Metal Beavers
127 out 3131 - Gladiators
128 out 4104 - Blackhawks
129 out 5295 - Aldernating Current
130 bubble 2517 - Green Wrenches
131 bubble 3576 - Clover Park High School Warrio...
132 bubble 847 - PHRED
133 ~out 5497 - Foxes
134 bubble 1258 - SeaBot
135 bubble 3786 - Chargers
136 bubble 4692 - Metal Mallards
137 out 1571 - Error404
138 bubble 1899 - Saints Robotics
139 out 3712 - RoboCats
140 ~out 5198 - RoboKnight Force
141 out 3575 - Okanogan FFA Redneck 2.0
142 bubble 4579 - RoboEagles
143 bubble 4461 - Ramen
144 bubble 3192 - Tiger Bytes
145 bubble 4304 - Iron Rams
146 bubble 4110 - DEEP SPACE NINERS
147 ~out 2002 - Tualatin Robotics
148 ~out 2942 - Panda Machine
149 ~out 3684 - Electric Eagles
150 ~out 2927 - Pi Rho Techs
151 ~out 3831 - Da Bears