Of course, the number of teams in the District and the number of teams allowed in the District Championships matters. It also matters a little how much many District Events there are (and the percentage and capabilities of the teams that go to more than 2 District Events) but this is a second order effect compared the ratio of teams in the District compared to the number of teams at the District Championships.
For NE, I estimate that it will take ~67* points plus or minus depending on how a few key teams that have not played their second district do this weekend (I'm looking at you Gael Force, Buzz, & Techno Ticks). It may also go up or down based on whether teams turn down the invite due to cost concerns.
This isn't part of the poll, but I am more interested in how many points it will take to get an invitation to the Big Dance in St. Louis.
If you have models that can predict that, I'd love to see them (as a team that is trying to figure out whether we should make hotel/flight reservations or not).
Dr. Joe J.
FWIW, here are a few other NE teams to watch that have yet to play their second district -- any of these are on the bubble and can impact who goes to WPI in Week 7
- 4557 - FullMetal Falcons
- 1768 - Robo Chiefs
- 348 - Norwell Robotics
- 4909 - Bionics
- 228 - GUS Robotics
- 2170 - Titanium Tomahawks
- 126 - Gael Force
- 166 - Chop Shop
- 178 - The 2nd Law Enforcers
- 2836 - Team Beta
- 3464 - Sim-City
- 2064 - The Panther Project
- 467 - Shrewsbury Colonials
- 999 - MechaRams
- 5746 - Valley Regional Robotics
- 663 - Robonauts
- 172 - Northern Force
- 5000 - Hammerheads
*My initial version of this message had 63 but realized I had a mistake in my calculation. 67 or 68 seems much more likely giving the number of teams on the bubble that have not yet played their second District yet.