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Unread 24-03-2015, 21:44
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Orthofort Orthofort is offline
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Re: District Championship Projections

Quote:
Originally Posted by IceStorm View Post
I do the same thing with giving points equal to first event. How do you calculate the teams that have not played at all?
I use a range, where the lower bound is if none of the teams that haven't played make it in, and the upper bound is if a proportional amount of teams make it in from this pool. So for example, after week 3 there were 40 teams in Michigan that hadn't played, if we take the proportion 102 qualifying / 347 total teams then we can expect a maximum of 12 teams making it from this group, and a minimum of 0.

For what it's worth, I think it's fair to do this because in general, the teams that wait until the last couple of weeks to do their events aren't as experienced or might not even go to 2 events. This of course is not true for every team but I think is generally true.
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