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Unread 25-03-2015, 19:53
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AKA: Art Kalb
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Re: 1114 the Statistical Outlier

Quote:
Originally Posted by Citrus Dad View Post
After 4 weeks, based on the "net OPR" (minus Coop OPR), 1114 is now 8.79 standard deviations (SD) above the mean OPR. The previous high was 6.53 for 1114 in 2008. Only one other team has been above 6 at season's end.

But that skew doesn't stop with just one team here's the number of teams more than 5 and 4 SDs above the mean by year. Cumulatively, only 8 teams have ever been above 5 SD before; now we have 6 teams. And in the years with 6 teams above 4 SD, there were either 1 or 0 above 5.
I suspect that those number of teams above 4 and 5 SDs for 2015 will go down come champs when more high scoring teams start playing more matches together.

Did you use Ed Law's spreadsheets for all of these numbers?
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Art Kalb
Team 254 (2011-2014): Head Scout, Programmer
2011, 2014 World Champions