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Unread 14-04-2015, 22:10
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Re: Division List Real or Bogus?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cory View Post
There is a .000381% chance of that happening...so safe to say someone intentionally did that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeE View Post
But it's 8 times more likely that they will all be in the same division, at a massive 0.00305% assuming random allocation.
I'm getting 0.002549%. It's not 1*(1/8)^5 *100 (which would give 0.000381%*8) because divisions aren't infinitely large, but (1 * 74/599 * 73/598 * 72/597 * 71/596 * 70/595)*100.

(1 because there is a 100% chance that the first team will go in any given division, but then the next team has 74 chances out of 599 slots, and so on. The *100 is just to convert to percentages.)