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Unread 21-04-2015, 14:11
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Re: Predictions Championship 2015: Rush to the Finish & Top 25

Quote:
Originally Posted by howdosheeplamp View Post
if an alliance that has the fastest burglar in the world can figure out a way to get 234 points (ex. 20pt auto + 5 stacks of 6 totes + noodle), they will probably win it all.
That's under the assumption that all of the other alliances can't make stacks without cans and doesn't include "litter" points either though (but we'll say those can be evenly traded anyway).

You definitely win 1 on 1, but you can lose out in the semi's if that is exactly what said alliance is capable of. Should be safe during the quarterfinals though. This is only for Einstein really, the caliber of stacking on individual fields is likely not going to be competitive enough to have 2 alliances overthrow that average (234 pts) after losing can races in 1/3 of their semifinal matches.

If other alliances on Einstein are capable of putting up 7 full stacks when they win the cans (and I think there will be 2 fields that can do this), then there is a definite risk that their averages are higher despite the massive blow from losing the races against the fast alliance.

It's a bit of a perfect storm scenario and really I'd expect the 234pt alliance to win it all if they can always get the cans, but it's worth noting that they can still lose.
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