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Unread 01-05-2015, 14:31
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AKA: Gus Michel II
FRC #3946 (Tiger Robotics)
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Re: paper: 2015 FRC Championship History

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bennett548 View Post
I understand the reasoning behind the diminishing effect, I was just curious about the value chosen. With the current number ~80% of a team's ranking comes from the most recent 4 years.

I don't think there is a number everyone can agree upon. I would use a bigger weight that 66%, so that older years have more weight. It seems to me that mentors and sponsors are a big part of a teams success, and that they have a slower turnover rate.
Also, not all teams are four years. There are many 3 year high schools, and schools with FTC teams as well. As I recall from The New Cool, 1717 members only compete one year. Others, such as the Girls of Steel, have an 8th grade apprentice program and are essentially a five+ year program. Probably most teams which mentor a "farm system" of FLL/FTC would tend to have more than a four year decorrelation time. All that said, -33% per year sounds reasonable to me.
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