View Single Post
  #12   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 13-05-2015, 17:37
IKE's Avatar
IKE IKE is offline
Not so Custom User Title
AKA: Isaac Rife
no team (N/A)
Team Role: Mechanical
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Rookie Year: 2003
Location: Michigan
Posts: 2,151
IKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond reputeIKE has a reputation beyond repute
Re: "standard error" of OPR values

Kind of reminds me of a joke I heard this past weekend that was accidentally butchered:

A physicist, engineer and a statistician are out hunting. Suddenly, a deer appears 50 yards away.

The physicist does some basic ballistic calculations, assuming a vacuum, lifts his rifle to a specific angle, and shoots. The bullet lands 5 yards short.

The engineer adds a fudge factor for air resistance, lifts his rifle slightly higher, and shoots. The bullet lands 5 yards long.

The statistician yells "We got him!"
************************************************** ********

A really interesting read into "what is important" from stats in basketball:
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/02/15/ma...ewanted=1&_r=0

+/- system is probably the most similar "stat" to OPR utilized in basketball. It is figured a different way, but is a good way of estimating impact from a player vs. just using points/rebounds and....

The article does a really good job of doing some comparison to a metric like that to more typical event driven stats to actual impactful details of a particularly difficult to scout player.

I really enjoy the line where it discusses trying to find undervalued mid pack players. Often with scouting, this is exactly what you too are trying to do. Rank the #16-#24 team at an event as accurately as possible in order to help foster your alliances best chance at advancing.

If you enjoy this topic, enjoy the article, and have not read Moneyball, it is well worth the read. I enjoyed the movie, but the book is so much better about the details.
Reply With Quote