Quote:
Originally Posted by AGPapa
WMPR (with a mean of the average score/3) is also just one number instead of two. And what game is WMPR bad for? Recycle Rush seems like it would be the worst game for WMPR, but it's comparable to OPR in predicting outcomes, if not slightly better.
And from my testing, the order of predictiveness goes WMPR>EPR>OPR. The only improvement EPR has over OPR is that it's half WMPR! Why not just go all the way and stick with WMPR?
Again, this is with using the training data as the testing data, if EPR is shown to be better when these are separate then perhaps we should use it instead. |
The reason I said two numbers is that in the past I look at OPR and CCWM. I am considering WMPR as a replacement of CCWM, which is why I will be looking at OPR and WMPR.
When we have more data, multiple years and multiple events that support WMPR as the best predictor for match outcome, then I will stop looking at OPR. But sometimes in alliance selection for first round pick, without any scouting data and you want somebody for pure offense, OPR is still a good indicator.