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Unread 28-05-2015, 13:23
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Re: Incorporating Opposing Alliance Information in CCWM Calculations

I tested how well EPR predicted match outcomes in the four events in 2014 beginning with "a". These tests excluded the match being tested from the training data and recomputed the EPR.

EPR:
ABCA: 59 out of 76 (78%)
ARFA: 50 out of 78 (64%)
AZCH: 63 out of 79 (78%)
ARCHI: 123 out of 166 (74%)

And as a reminder, here's how OPR did (as found by wgardner)
OPR:
ABCA: 56 out of 76 (74%)
ARFA: 55 out of 78 (71%)
AZCH: 59 out of 79 (75%)
ARCHI: 127 out of 166 (77%)

So over these four events OPR successfully predicted 297 matches and EPR successfully predicted 295.
Attached Files
File Type: xlsx EPR across events.xlsx (479.1 KB, 6 views)
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Last edited by AGPapa : 28-05-2015 at 14:30.
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