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Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
Using this match schedule and teams' most recent OPR's, I've run Monte Carlo simulations for IRI 2015.
I've adjusted the randomization model from +- 10 points to +- 36 points to adjust for IRI rule changes, but other than that the assumptions made are about the same.
This is just for fun. I don't expect these to even remotely line up with actual rankings given the craziness of IRI and its rule changes and the amount of time teams have had to improve.
Here are the results after 10,000 iterations:
Code:
Event: iri
Teams found: 67
Iterations: 10000
Number AvgRank Max Min
195 3.4832 46.0 1.0
1023 4.3134 55.0 1.0
118 4.6559 48.0 1.0
2337 7.4331 60.0 1.0
4143 13.2243 64.0 1.0
2122 13.9563 62.0 1.0
107 14.3209 62.0 1.0
2468 14.7406 64.0 1.0
1730 14.9395 65.0 1.0
1114 15.7037 62.0 1.0
111 18.9118 65.0 1.0
33 19.0198 65.0 1.0
316 19.1749 65.0 1.0
1720 20.9217 67.0 1.0
548 21.341 66.0 1.0
829 21.4001 66.0 1.0
3641 21.5216 65.0 1.0
2056 21.8729 67.0 1.0
379 22.777 67.0 1.0
624 23.0898 67.0 1.0
3130 25.7827 67.0 1.0
4678 25.9262 67.0 1.0
5254 26.2098 66.0 1.0
2502 26.447 66.0 1.0
2590 27.7846 67.0 1.0
1806 29.9685 67.0 1.0
1756 30.9229 67.0 1.0
245 31.5831 67.0 1.0
469 33.8646 67.0 1.0
234 34.058 67.0 1.0
1619 34.1976 67.0 1.0
744 34.8391 67.0 1.0
330 35.124 67.0 1.0
3824 35.3259 67.0 1.0
503 35.5829 67.0 1.0
1325 35.8103 67.0 1.0
5188 35.9743 67.0 2.0
217 36.5755 67.0 1.0
1640 36.7092 67.0 2.0
67 36.7751 67.0 2.0
4039 37.208 67.0 2.0
384 38.0809 67.0 2.0
1625 39.9881 67.0 1.0
2338 40.6733 67.0 1.0
340 43.5065 67.0 3.0
2826 44.3424 67.0 1.0
27 44.6912 67.0 3.0
20 44.9441 67.0 2.0
68 45.8721 67.0 3.0
1741 46.3385 67.0 4.0
48 46.6938 67.0 3.0
16 47.4771 67.0 3.0
1310 47.8421 67.0 3.0
179 48.0229 67.0 2.0
1711 48.2938 67.0 4.0
5413 48.3966 67.0 4.0
2614 49.1928 67.0 2.0
1218 49.2469 67.0 4.0
1923 49.303 67.0 3.0
2867 50.0946 67.0 3.0
233 50.1697 67.0 4.0
1024 52.5114 67.0 7.0
225 56.6266 67.0 8.0
226 58.1545 67.0 9.0
1657 59.8648 67.0 12.0
3015 60.4362 67.0 8.0
2512 63.7653 67.0 16.0
__________________
Drive Coach Team 5012 Gryffingear / Antelope Valley FIRST teams / EWCP - (2013 - Current)
Student / Driver / Programmer / CAD - FRC Team 399: Eagle Robotics / FTC Team 72: GarageBots - (2009 - 2013)
Los Angeles Region FTC FTA/CSA/Head Ref
[FF] FIRST Pick
2014 FTC Los Angeles Regional Compass Award Winner.
2017 - Sacramento Regional / Las Vegas Regional
2016 - Los Angeles Regional Creativity + Winners (1197, 987, 5012) / Las Vegas Regional Team Spirit + SF (5012, 5851, 5049) / Galileo Subdivision
2015 - Inland Empire QF (597, 5012, 4413) / Las Vegas Imagery + Winners (148, 987, 5012) / Newton Subdivision and World Champions (118, 1678, 1671, 5012)
2014 - Inland Empire Rookie All Star + Highest Rookie Seed + SF (2339, 1967, 5012) / Las Vegas Rookie All Star / Galileo Division Imagery
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