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Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
Quote:
Originally Posted by artK
Would it be possible to run again with the deviation being +- 10 points? I think setting your random term to +- 36 is making your predictions too random, because that's three stacks of randomness per alliance. Setting it to +- 10 points would be better, because that is like saying one team per alliance could miss a stack from their average, which seems about right for IRI level consistency. It would also allow for some comparison to how competitive it is to get the first seed in comparison to your division numbers, which did a decent job at predicting the top seeds (except the predicted second seeded team in Newton was the last pick of the second round).
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Rerun with my CMP configuration. +/- 10pts randomness per team.
Code:
Division: iri
Teams found: 67
Iterations: 100000
Number AvgRank Max Min
118 1.4292 8.0 1.0
1023 2.26691 12.0 1.0
1730 3.77114 17.0 1.0
1114 3.82938 15.0 1.0
195 4.24932 18.0 1.0
107 8.09859 27.0 1.0
2337 9.35797 30.0 2.0
4143 10.1961 32.0 2.0
3130 10.85173 35.0 2.0
2122 10.89984 38.0 2.0
2826 11.06818 34.0 2.0
469 11.55042 36.0 2.0
5254 13.01782 41.0 3.0
1806 13.22972 38.0 3.0
2056 14.61626 41.0 3.0
548 15.49613 43.0 3.0
5413 18.4363 47.0 5.0
33 20.37055 48.0 5.0
1310 21.01449 51.0 4.0
2468 21.04116 52.0 5.0
316 23.20093 54.0 5.0
2590 23.68339 56.0 6.0
624 25.34947 54.0 6.0
234 25.99851 57.0 7.0
1720 26.49102 57.0 7.0
4039 27.1181 59.0 6.0
1640 27.46469 57.0 7.0
111 28.08338 57.0 6.0
233 28.5944 58.0 9.0
379 29.01309 58.0 8.0
4678 29.80839 60.0 8.0
2502 31.68775 60.0 9.0
3641 32.19362 62.0 9.0
1756 32.57385 61.0 10.0
1325 33.78067 61.0 9.0
829 36.3367 63.0 11.0
2338 38.08475 63.0 13.0
3824 39.16215 65.0 14.0
1741 40.16131 64.0 13.0
340 42.26218 65.0 15.0
27 43.12203 66.0 15.0
16 43.2314 65.0 15.0
1657 43.61683 65.0 15.0
67 44.19328 65.0 17.0
1218 44.37871 65.0 19.0
226 45.81232 66.0 19.0
330 46.15928 66.0 19.0
1024 46.72132 66.0 20.0
5188 47.55189 66.0 21.0
1619 48.18829 66.0 20.0
225 48.42906 66.0 21.0
245 48.6379 66.0 21.0
744 49.43817 66.0 22.0
68 51.28834 66.0 20.0
20 55.19088 67.0 28.0
2614 55.73767 67.0 29.0
384 56.30734 67.0 27.0
2867 57.08954 67.0 29.0
1711 58.30159 67.0 33.0
1625 58.9471 67.0 32.0
503 59.55302 67.0 35.0
48 60.00522 67.0 33.0
179 62.19169 67.0 41.0
1923 62.60326 67.0 43.0
217 63.09955 67.0 42.0
2512 65.46207 67.0 52.0
3015 66.90269 67.0 60.0
__________________
Drive Coach Team 5012 Gryffingear / Antelope Valley FIRST teams / EWCP - (2013 - Current)
Student / Driver / Programmer / CAD - FRC Team 399: Eagle Robotics / FTC Team 72: GarageBots - (2009 - 2013)
Los Angeles Region FTC FTA/CSA/Head Ref
[FF] FIRST Pick
2014 FTC Los Angeles Regional Compass Award Winner.
2017 - Sacramento Regional / Las Vegas Regional
2016 - Los Angeles Regional Creativity + Winners (1197, 987, 5012) / Las Vegas Regional Team Spirit + SF (5012, 5851, 5049) / Galileo Subdivision
2015 - Inland Empire QF (597, 5012, 4413) / Las Vegas Imagery + Winners (148, 987, 5012) / Newton Subdivision and World Champions (118, 1678, 1671, 5012)
2014 - Inland Empire Rookie All Star + Highest Rookie Seed + SF (2339, 1967, 5012) / Las Vegas Rookie All Star / Galileo Division Imagery
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