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Unread 21-09-2015, 11:12
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Re: Georgia Districts confirmed for 2016!

So, a couple of us did a fun little analysis of how teams in GA stack up in the district points system.

We took all GA teams and gave them points according to their performance last season. Here are some assumptions we took:
1) We did not account for points that were awards to out-of-state teams.
2) We only counted the team's first two events, regardless of location.
3) If a team only went to one event, we doubled their score.

Based on the criteria above, the top 10 teams (in order) are:
  1. 4468 - 1 Event(s) - 127.8 Normalized Points
  2. 5608 - 1 Event(s) - 127.8 Normalized Points
  3. 2974 - 2 Event(s) - 123.9 Normalized Points
  4. 1261 - 2 Event(s) - 92.9 Normalized Points
  5. 1746 - 2 Event(s) - 92 Normalized Points
  6. 2415 - 2 Event(s) - 86.9 Normalized Points
  7. 1414 - 1 Event(s) - 80 Normalized Points
  8. 3329 - 1 Event(s) - 80 Normalized Points
  9. 1648 - 2 Event(s) - 75.9 Normalized Points
  10. 4188 - 2 Event(s) - 74.9 Normalized Points

Assuming that 40 teams end up attending state championships, the points cut off was at a mere 22 points.

However, 1-event teams like 4468 absolutely killed it at Peachtree, and while we can never know for sure, it's is unlikely that they would've repeated their 1-event performance earlier in the season. If we attempt to adjust for this, the top 10 teams become:
  1. 2974 - 2 Events - 123.9 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  2. 4468 - 1 Events - 95.85 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  3. 5608 - 1 Events - 95.85 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  4. 1261 - 2 Events - 92.9 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  5. 1746 - 2 Events - 92 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  6. 2415 - 2 Events - 86.9 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  7. 1648 - 2 Events - 75.9 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  8. 4188 - 2 Events - 74.9 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  9. 4189 - 2 Events - 73 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points
  10. 1414 - 1 Events - 60 Normalized 1-Event Bias Points

Assuming that 40 teams end up attending state championships, the points cut off slightly increases to 22.5 points.

Just some fun numbers,
- Sunny G.
__________________
1261: 2007-2012
1648: 2013-2014
5283: 2015

Last edited by ttldomination : 21-09-2015 at 11:16. Reason: Copied in wrong numbers.
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