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Unread 12-01-2016, 16:34
tindleroot tindleroot is offline
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Re: Car Nack Predicts 16-1

Quote:
Originally Posted by JABot67 View Post
3.) The #1 seeded team makes imperfect alliance selection picks.
So do the other alliances. In fact, I would argue that lower seeds (especially teams who are unprepared to seed high) usually make suboptimal picks.

I also believe that the first seed will have a larger advantage than most years, even with the last pick. I wouldn't be surprised if there was a significant dropoff after about 10 teams or so (the best 10 teams will be capturing the tower almost every match and breaching sometimes). It seems likely as well that there will be more teams with basic robots that can contribute (as second picks) that #8's last pick won't be much better than #1's last pick. For that reason, I predict that the #1 seed will fall within their usual winning percentage, 50-75%.
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