Quote:
Originally Posted by The Lucas
I made my on bold prediction of <40% #1 seed winners back in '09 and I (along with most of Michigan) pretty much got dominated by HOT (leading to a total of 50% #1 seed winners). I hit my makeup prediction of exactly one #1 seed division winner (again HOT with capt Wildstang and Spartan Robotics, the eventual champions). This is a much bolder prediction, perhaps Car Nack's boldest ever. Major props to him if he is right. I wonder what the biggest contributing factor (extra RPs, lack of depth + serpentine + random match sched, indiv ability ceiling) was to prompt this prediction.
You can find more data for '09 and '08 in my prediction thread. Check out this great Jim Zondag chart for '07-'10. |
For completeness sake, I ran my script going to back to 2007 (as far back as TBA has ranking data)
Code:
Overall 363 of 628 events were won by top seeds (57.8025477707 percent)
In 2007, 17 of 41 events were won by top seeds (41.4634146341 percent). 0 events were skipped
In 2008, 24 of 45 events were won by top seeds (53.3333333333 percent). 0 events were skipped
In 2009, 21 of 44 events were won by top seeds (47.7272727273 percent). 8 events were skipped
In 2010, 35 of 50 events were won by top seeds (70.0 percent). 5 events were skipped
In 2011, 41 of 62 events were won by top seeds (66.1290322581 percent). 0 events were skipped
In 2012, 46 of 73 events were won by top seeds (63.0136986301 percent). 0 events were skipped
In 2013, 46 of 81 events were won by top seeds (56.7901234568 percent). 0 events were skipped
In 2014, 51 of 102 events were won by top seeds (50.0 percent). 0 events were skipped
In 2015, 82 of 117 events were won by top seeds (70.0854700855 percent). 0 events were skipped