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Unread 27-01-2016, 02:47
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Re: How many times is enough to prove consistency?

Quote:
Originally Posted by evanperryg View Post
The inherent problem with counting crosses is that teams will cross the easy ones a lot more than, say, the portcullis. I think a more appropriate way of testing would be a count of crosses, next to a count of times a team got stuck, perhaps a +/- score, consisting of (successful crosses - (k)(failed cross), with a k value adjusted based on how agressively you want to eliminate teams for failures.
If only someone would develop an area of statistics that was devoted to degrees of belief. We could even name it after my favorite 18th century Presbyterian minister.