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Unread 11-02-2016, 15:24
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Re: How biased are CD polls

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jon Stratis View Post
This is an interesting poll, and will probably show that a disproportionate number of teams here play in elims. But it's also just a single data point, looking at a 1-year view. If you take my team, for example... We did horrible last year. But prior to that, we pretty much always made it into elims. You'll have outliers like that - teams that normally do well but had an off year last year, or teams that made it to elims for the first time in team history last year. Something to keep in mind when looking at the results.
I would say the data here may not apply to all teams everywhere but when you look at just Championship only over the course of several years then the data stacks up better to what I would expect from CD polls. For instance, North Carolina is now in a District event model instead of a Regional event. This throws the metrics way off for areas like this because we have multiple district events and a state championship before the big show and therefore more winners.
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