Quote:
Originally Posted by Ian Curtis
How many points does it think the cutoff will be? Has it done a decent job at predicting the points required in previous seasons? I think it was 64 last year & 58 the year before when the dust settled (some declines maybe?). If that benchmark is holding about true, it's probably useful for teams to set their goals & expectations as things move forward.
Thanks for doing this!
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Here's what the results looked like:
2015:
2 weeks out: 62
1 week out: 62
Actual: 64
2014:
2 weeks out: 56
1 week out: 55
Actual: 58
It's a small sample size but it does seem to be a little bit biased toward making low estimates.