District Championship Points Predictions
CHS Platter has determined with a high degree of certainty that
54 points is the likely minimum to be invited to the District Championship. 58 slots are available, with 7 going to District Chairman's teams.
Pre-Qualified teams based on DCA:
116 - Epsilon Delta
1086 - Blue Cheese
1885 - ILITE Robotics
2363 - Triple Helix
4945 - Titanium-Wrecks
Predicted DCA teams:
Central MD: 1629 - Garrett Coalition (GaCo)
Central VA: 384 - Sparky 384
Methodologies:
This leaves 51 points-based positions up for grabs. Many teams have already hit this
mark. But many teams will qualify based on the performances from this weekend.
We've created and tested three models of the CHS District points structure, with all calculations producing very close results.
1. We awarded a flat number of district ranking points to teams that have not yet played their second event. The number of points is chosen to be approximately equal to the average amount of points scored by all district teams in their first event. This straightforward simulation predicts the DCMP point cutoff will be approximately 53 points.
2. Similar to model 1, but we awarded a variable number of district ranking points to teams that have not yet played their second event. The shape of the point distribution was averaged from the outcomes of the previous 5 CHS events. We assigned points to teams based on a random guess about their performance in week 4 events. This simulation predicts cutoff at approximately 54 points.
3. Similar to model 2, but we assigned these points to the week 4 teams based on CHS Platter predictions about how these teams will perform. CHS Platter predictions are informed by a rich mixture of numerical and subjective data gathered over the previous 3 weeks of competition. This simulation predicts cutoff at approximately 55 points.
Predicted to qualify:
Code:
Current Points Team
47 623 - Cougar Robotics
53 5279 - Bionic Eagles
35 401 - Copperhead Robotics
48 1389 - The Body Electric
40 422 - Mech Tech Dragons
35 612 - Chantilly Robotics
41 1137 - Rocket Sauce
31 2528 - RoboDoves
38 339 - Kilroy Robotics
32 4505 - McDonogh Eagle Robotics
40 977 - Cometbots
30 2199 - Robo-Lions
14 3939 - Robotic Knights
30 2912 - Panthers
32 5936 - TigerBots
On the bubble:
Code:
Current Points Team
25 2028 - Phantom Mentalist
17 2914 - TIGER PRIDE
26 2377 - C Company
39 2421 - RTR Team Robotics
26 1829 - Carbonauts
25 540 - TALON 540 Godwin Robotics
54 1895 - Lambda Corps
54 5841 - The Patriots
53 5954 - Portable Chargers
34 4514 - Calvert STEAM Works