I think about even money; I polled 50-70%. There seems to be a bit of a sophomore effect here - taking things to the next level produces unusual setbacks.
The 3Ts awarded or given tentative 3T status were:
- Palmetto, wk 0.5
- Waterbury*, wk 1
- Wilsonville, wk 2
- Los Angeles, wk 2
- Bridgewater-Raritan, wk 3
- Silicon Valley, wk 6
* Tentative because one was on the batter divider, not a defense.
Of particular note on the SV 3T in week 6 was that all three of those robots are well-established teams which were selected for elims at SV. They were being outperformed by even better competition when all three robots managed to tortuga (independently, this time); this may be because they were pushing just a little bit harder than in other matches, and went too far. I would not be too surprised if there were a 3T during DCMPs, but I would consider that less than 50% likely.