Quote:
Originally Posted by Ether
Eugene Fang and I have been PM'ing about this. He came up with a clever and very effective method. See his discussion here.
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The method looks good but I am not sure if it is necessary. Here is my position on how to use OPR. Current event OPR should not be used until you have at least 4 or 5 matches depending on number of teams. Before that, I use max OPR from prior events. So in a way, it is similar to what Eugene Fang did. The match "prediction" using OPR is just a check. Since you are at the event, you should always use scouted data instead of OPR.
The work Eugene Fang did was great in showing how long it takes to converge.