Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Wallace
After thinking a bit longer about Caleb's database, I sorted the teams that have demonstrated 5+ high goals per match, using eOPR1 to rank. I think it will very interesting to see how these teams are distributed across CMP divisions. Alliances with two of these high shooters will be challenging to play against.
The list of 24 top guns includes
- nine Michigan teams: 27, 33, 67, 85, 2771, 3620, 3641, 4967, 5460
- five California teams: 254, 330, 971, 3309, 3476
- three Canadian teams: 1241, 2056, 4334
- two New England teams: 195, 4564
- and one team each from Indiana (1024), Texas (118), Iowa (5172), Arizona (987), and PNW (1540)
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This is an interesting data set, but looking at it I think it can't be accepted right at face value.
IMO the 5 balls per match stat is very situational. The two biggest cases of tons of high goal scoring are doing low bar cycles and stealing from the secret passage. In quals for example I think that stealing from the secret passage is going to be much more prevalent than in elims, just because of the defender who will be in play. The low bar scorers who hit 5+ per match are great but how many of them do less if this route is not available (ie. 2 low bar cyclers on a single alliance).
I think that this stat does give us a good top list of the best shooters at the championship, but I also believe we will see some teams on that list fall to defense with lower averages and some teams with lower per shot averages jump up, as the situation changes.
Also in general I feel that the biggest impact of increasing the tower strength at championships will be to combat defense during qualification rounds. There will be less 2 robot alliances who can drop the tower themselves so in order to secure the 4RP mach, the 3rd partner can't be just a defender. On the flip side it also has the possibility to make defense more impactful as keeping an alliance from scoring 1-2 balls can really sway things in regards to event ranking.