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Re: Comparison of DIV MAX OPRs
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jared Russell
Another trivia question for you stat-gurus out there to chew on...
Given random assignment of teams to 8 divisions, what is the probability that any division's [mean OPR, 90th %ile OPR, 75th %ile OPR, 50th %ile OPR, etc.] is as strong as Newton's?
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I ran 1000 simulations (creating 8000 divisions) of the assignment process (with rookies dealt out randomly and evenly at first, then vets), and for each real CMP division counted the percentages of the simulated divisions that had higher stats than the real division.
Code:
Division, Mean, 50th, 75th, 90th
Newton 2.11% 9.93% 0.26% 1.13%
Hopper 25.31% 75.99% 63.89% 29.55%
Carver 33.69% 14.65% 49.40% 43.60%
Carson 38.50% 40.76% 7.49% 41.76%
Arch. 62.38% 60.72% 34.96% 89.81%
Curie 79.78% 53.46% 77.20% 98.06%
Tesla 86.04% 89.74% 68.84% 81.65%
Galileo 90.23% 76.91% 76.33% 82.76%
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2016: Northern Virginia Winners (1418, 2421), Hampton Roads Finalists (1885, 5954)
2015: Virginia Winners (384, 1610), Chesapeake Winners (1690, 4050)
2014: Chesapeake Winners (1629, 623), Galileo Winners (67, 973, 2481)
2013: Virginia Finalists (2053, 3015)
Last edited by wjordan : 04-25-2016 at 08:20 PM.
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