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Unread 28-04-2016, 12:10
TomAwezome TomAwezome is offline
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Re: Project ORB: A superb predictive scouting system!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Eugene Fang View Post
I haven't looked at how accurate ORBs predictions have been, but I noticed that it is consistently overestimating scores by a large margin. Any insight as to why this might be occurring?
As far as I could tell much earlier in development, it was oddly over in estimation, but it seemed consistent by a certain multiplier (not impacting the predictions for winning, just showing bigger values.) Before, I had multiplied it by about .7310 to get the scores looking more like actual match scores. It is currently not doing that, since as mentioned it has no impact on prediction. The score value is a result of how it's summing it all, as it is trying to follow as close as possible the way that match scoring works in-game, but is not caused by any errors.
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