[Littlepchan]

Originally Posted by jtrv

I wrote a quick little script to simulate alliance selection, albeit in a relatively naive way. It assumes each team will be picking the highest available OPR team, and it assumes nobody declines. Again, this isn't perfect, it's just assuming each alliance wants to get the highest OPR possible.

arc alliances:
[[1501 - 60 (1), 4103 - 51 (6), 180 - 41 (24), 3098 - 41 (53)],
 [4003 - 48 (2), 4564 - 49 (8), 5878 - 41 (17), 2881 - 40 (57)],
 [3166 - 37 (3), 1768 - 48 (20), 2338 - 41 (35), 1671 - 39 (39)],
 [2064 - 46 (4), 1747 - 47 (5), 5401 - 41 (50), 3847 - 39 (32)],
 [45 - 37 (7), 207 - 47 (44), 498 - 42 (72), 1986 - 39 (16)],
 [3534 - 39 (9), 2637 - 46 (21), 4039 - 42 (30), 4183 - 39 (29)],
 [1257 - 41 (10), 1310 - 45 (11), 5926 - 43 (59), 4911 - 38 (18)],
 [3932 - 38 (12), 1318 - 45 (28), 1540 - 44 (33), 1391 - 37 (19)]]
cars alliances:
[[973 - 59 (1), 1024 - 67 (7), 525 - 43 (33), 2403 - 43 (29)],
 [2590 - 54 (2), 868 - 64 (42), 2655 - 43 (27), 2771 - 42 (26)],
 [225 - 57 (3), 2052 - 57 (8), 2996 - 43 (25), 3970 - 42 (45)],
 [5895 - 54 (4), 610 - 56 (12), 4362 - 43 (23), 135 - 42 (49)],
 [2122 - 56 (5), 41 - 52 (15), 1625 - 43 (53), 5907 - 42 (16)],
 [1718 - 45 (6), 2067 - 51 (37), 904 - 45 (30), 1987 - 41 (32)],
 [1918 - 47 (9), 3824 - 50 (47), 4028 - 45 (19), 4264 - 41 (13)],
 [2137 - 49 (10), 3538 - 47 (43), 2474 - 47 (21), 2486 - 41 (24)]]
carv alliances:
[[133 - 64 (1), 230 - 74 (3), 5048 - 43 (55), 1086 - 43 (49)],
 [330 - 55 (2), 842 - 62 (5), 120 - 43 (62), 3452 - 42 (43)],
 [27 - 58 (4), 1114 - 55 (27), 1775 - 45 (58), 78 - 41 (18)],
 [5460 - 54 (6), 1305 - 53 (7), 359 - 46 (42), 3419 - 41 (46)],
 [2481 - 50 (8), 360 - 52 (19), 4451 - 47 (17), 1481 - 40 (48)],
 [3357 - 48 (9), 2767 - 50 (13), 1262 - 48 (12), 5924 - 40 (37)],
 [57 - 35 (10), 3478 - 50 (38), 1058 - 48 (51), 2648 - 40 (31)],
 [503 - 39 (11), 910 - 49 (45), 20 - 48 (16), 228 - 39 (34)]]
cur alliances:
[[3546 - 47 (1), 166 - 60 (10), 4469 - 42 (28), 2175 - 41 (24)],
 [1089 - 45 (2), 3641 - 59 (9), 3506 - 42 (31), 3770 - 41 (32)],
 [25 - 50 (3), 5406 - 56 (5), 3234 - 42 (48), 2168 - 41 (45)],
 [5803 - 36 (4), 1885 - 56 (11), 3339 - 43 (33), 3618 - 41 (15)],
 [639 - 42 (6), 1261 - 54 (13), 2974 - 43 (29), 4180 - 40 (47)],
 [3005 - 37 (7), 694 - 53 (8), 379 - 44 (16), 1983 - 39 (40)],
 [4061 - 37 (12), 876 - 51 (21), 3990 - 46 (38), 3656 - 39 (37)],
 [836 - 31 (14), 858 - 48 (17), 2557 - 46 (22), 2883 - 39 (18)]]
gal alliances:
[[195 - 70 (1), 365 - 67 (3), 1153 - 38 (13), 2502 - 37 (48)],
 [3683 - 49 (2), 558 - 63 (8), 245 - 39 (20), 68 - 36 (26)],
 [987 - 54 (4), 494 - 59 (9), 1065 - 40 (27), 4063 - 36 (29)],
 [3539 - 47 (5), 341 - 55 (6), 6166 - 41 (16), 2638 - 36 (66)],
 [5813 - 49 (7), 1124 - 55 (32), 2468 - 41 (19), 5006 - 34 (18)],
 [333 - 40 (10), 1023 - 54 (28), 3637 - 42 (33), 1701 - 34 (22)],
 [2987 - 39 (11), 2439 - 50 (21), 870 - 48 (46), 2642 - 34 (39)],
 [176 - 46 (12), 175 - 50 (14), 5448 - 49 (44), 6175 - 34 (17)]]
hop alliances:
[[148 - 79 (1), 971 - 70 (4), 172 - 42 (30), 2438 - 41 (50)],
 [1425 - 49 (2), 1678 - 70 (3), 5254 - 42 (46), 2990 - 41 (35)],
 [4334 - 59 (5), 294 - 56 (7), 1684 - 42 (36), 5431 - 40 (16)],
 [303 - 34 (6), 4587 - 54 (11), 3604 - 42 (53), 4377 - 40 (38)],
 [1712 - 34 (8), 346 - 52 (9), 2013 - 42 (17), 1011 - 39 (43)],
 [231 - 32 (10), 869 - 51 (40), 70 - 43 (28), 5618 - 39 (15)],
 [1736 - 49 (12), 1538 - 49 (21), 1730 - 44 (51), 2471 - 38 (44)],
 [686 - 35 (13), 4967 - 47 (14), 1323 - 44 (25), 2046 - 38 (23)]]
new alliances:
[[1241 - 62 (1), 5172 - 73 (10), 122 - 45 (37), 5505 - 45 (63)],
 [254 - 70 (2), 179 - 70 (5), 1143 - 45 (61), 2614 - 44 (39)],
 [1519 - 67 (3), 3620 - 70 (9), 3481 - 46 (44), 3284 - 44 (25)],
 [67 - 66 (4), 118 - 62 (11), 125 - 48 (33), 1640 - 43 (17)],
 [5150 - 38 (6), 4678 - 62 (21), 3476 - 50 (32), 3937 - 42 (34)],
 [4001 - 45 (7), 217 - 58 (8), 3663 - 50 (14), 2393 - 41 (36)],
 [1418 - 36 (12), 3314 - 57 (26), 3360 - 50 (47), 5124 - 41 (30)],
 [229 - 39 (13), 1731 - 55 (16), 16 - 52 (42), 708 - 40 (19)]]
tes alliances:
[[2056 - 68 (1), 1690 - 69 (4), 111 - 41 (24), 74 - 41 (11)],
 [2451 - 59 (2), 33 - 62 (12), 5437 - 42 (19), 2054 - 40 (23)],
 [2834 - 51 (3), 3130 - 54 (9), 2415 - 42 (51), 329 - 40 (14)],
 [1806 - 54 (5), 5114 - 50 (38), 3245 - 43 (30), 1306 - 39 (34)],
 [2823 - 45 (6), 3238 - 49 (15), 461 - 43 (29), 2783 - 39 (32)],
 [4488 - 39 (7), 548 - 46 (48), 5030 - 43 (57), 2363 - 39 (40)],
 [4391 - 44 (8), 177 - 45 (21), 3044 - 43 (46), 4930 - 39 (49)],
 [1675 - 37 (10), 1099 - 44 (17), 4468 - 43 (16), 2522 - 39 (13)]]

Syntax is [TEAM1 - OPR1 (SEED1), TEAM2 - OPR2 (SEED2), ... ]

Where the seed is where they originally finished in the division.

There's more to alliances than just OPR. You have to take into account a team's strategy, personal opinions, and (in my opinion) a Defense bot meta-game. At least until the teams reach Einstein.