Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaci
I ran some numbers on all the teams that had attended championships this year.
This is a breakdown of the combined and average OPR of teams attending the North and South championships in 2017/18, using their scores at the championship event for this year.
Here are the same numbers run on ALL teams in 2016, using their OPRs averaged over all events they attended this year.
Take these numbers how you will (OPR isn't the greatest stat ever), but I think they might hold a bit of weight. |
I think you might have miscalculated - those OPR's are too high for 2016. I calculated the stats below with the 2834 database using the world rank OPR. Calculated for all teams in each region, and teams from that region attending the 2016 championship.
Region - Teams - Average OPR
FRC North 1773 23.71128032
FRC South 1357 21.27907148
CMP North 355 34.4256338
CMP South 245 31.15387755
See charts below for data from 2016. The big difference for next year will be the waitlist percentage. Does anyone have a dataset that lists how teams qualified for the 2016 championship? I would expect a bigger gap for next year, since the North will have a more competitive group from Ontario, and likely a smaller group off the waitlist. The last chart roughly represents elimination teams if each event has 4 fields of 100 teams.
