Quote:
Originally Posted by jpetito
"Under the heading of 'How Should One Handle Assumptions:' "
"Perhaps more than anything else, the Walker spy case is a study in assumptions. Time and again, individuals made decisions based on assumptions that proved to be woefully incorrect. In many cases, these assumptions were based on nothing more than wishful thinking, or on the fact that it would be very convenient if certain things were true. There is little or no evidence that decision makers attempted to verify or falsify them, even when such an attempt would be easy to make.
...Another military truism is that successful planners must clearly distinguish between facts and assumptions. All real-world plans will require some assumptions, as information will never be perfect. However, a successful planner will then try to verify or falsify his assumptions, continuing to do so until successful--either proving the assumption true, making it into a fact, or proving it false. 3"
From chapter Educator Bias, in Ditching Shop Class; How Educators Feed the Achievement Gap
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Hi Joe,
I suppose I don't understand what the above quote contributes to the discussion? Are you cautioning one person, a sub-set, or the group about making assumptions?
I've made a lot of assumptions in the California Districts Proposal, but I've also been fortunate to have many talented and generous individuals help me get data to verify or falsify those assumptions.
On that point...
I am hoping to release a Rev 2 of the California Districts Proposal this weekend! Updated budget figures, and other structural changes to make the proposal more friendly/compatible with FIRST HQ's goals for FIRST.
**NEEDED** If you are familiar with FRC team data sets and willing to help process some region/district-specific growth/retention rates over the past 10 years, or have analysis about district/regional growth/retention rates,
please PM me! I'd like to have some additional figures/numbers to back up some additional theories being added to Proposal Rev 2.
Also, did Joe Ross calculate California District Points for 2016? I remember he calculated CA district points in past years.
Thanks everyone!
-Mike