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Unread 15-08-2016, 14:30
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Re: (Seemingly) Irrational alliance selection decisions?

I think there is a significant difference that needs to be clarified between irrational picks and bad picks. Team's make bad picks all of the time, but There was always at least some rationale behind any pick. That selection had to arrive on a picklist for some reason, whether or not it was a good reason. If a pick seems irrational, there might be a good reason behind it. If you have outstanding scouting you can find value in teams they themselves might not even know they had, let alone the general public.

I think the more important thing to look at was the result the pick achieved you and if they yielded the result you expected them to yield. Essentially was the pick a bad pick. If you select a high variance team with high scoring potential and it doesn't come through, but you were aware of that risk beforehand, the pick is not particularly bad despite possibly yielding a bad result. If you select one team for some reason while leaving another more valuable team on the table, and this selection ends up hurting your performance, it can be argued that you have made a bad pick.

Defining whether or not you think your pick was bad or not is important. Once you do, you can then look at the reasoning you had to pick that team and then find what flaws you may have had in that reasoning to yield the wrong result. Hopefully, you will be less likely to make that mistake in the future.
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