Quote:
Originally Posted by vann2648
My picks are Waterford (27, 33, 67, 217)
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To expand on Michigan, a little. I have a sheet that tracks the district "strengths " based on a "Power Rating" which I have played with the calculation... Currently using the last three years data, using the FiM final ranking as a percentage, and summed. So if you finished 1st in the last 3 years in Michigan, your power ranking would be 3. As a reference point Last year MSC 102 teams had a PR=2.2 average.
In Michigan there are still 33% of the district spots to fill, so this is preliminary data, and numbers will move around as waitlist spots are cleared.
But as currently registered, Waterford is the number 1 competitive district, with and average PR=1.862, followed by St. Joseph PR=1.854
Top Michigan teams that are not currently registered for two events, that can significantly impact this distribution are: 107 (1), 68 (2), 4362(1), 2054(1), 3602(1), 3620(1)
This PR calculation with only looking a 3 years, negatively impacts some historically great teams in Michigan, 469 (which finished 1st in 2012 and 2013), 51, 245, 217, 314, 910 which all are impacted by single poor competition year result.
Last year the PR of Waterford (last years most competitive district) was on par with MSC, it doesn't look as competitive this year, but that could change when all the numbers shake out, but it does not seem to be moving in that direction.
Typically disclaimers, I think the data presented is accurate, but I am always making excel errors, YMMV.
