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Unread 14-12-2016, 13:02
Caleb Sykes's Avatar
Caleb Sykes Caleb Sykes is offline
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Re: Biggest upsets of 2016

Quote:
Originally Posted by Caleb Sykes View Post
Did you ever see how accurate your predictions were? After training with data from 2011-2014, my current Elo model gets a Brier score of 0.1792 for predicting the winners of the 2016 Championship qual and playoff matches. I'm planning to try to predict matches with OPR, CCWM, and win contribution in the future and compare results.
Alternatively, it predicted 72.3% of the winning alliances correctly.
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