14-12-2016, 16:30
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no bag, vex only, final destination
AKA: Pinecone
 FRC #0228 (GUS Robotics); FRC #2170 (Titanium Tomahawks) Team Role: Mentor
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Join Date: Dec 2008
Rookie Year: 2006
Location: Glastonbury, CT
Posts: 7,684
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Re: Biggest upsets of 2016
Quote:
Originally Posted by Caleb Sykes
Did you ever see how accurate your predictions were? After training with data from 2011-2014, my current Elo model gets a Brier score of 0.1792 for predicting the winners of the 2016 Championship qual and playoff matches. I'm planning to try to predict matches with OPR, CCWM, and win contribution in the future and compare results.
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If you're going to compare to all of the various methods, would be cool to also compare to average qual score; anything less predictive than that is worthless basically.
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College Mentor: 2791 (2010-2015)
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