View Single Post
  #9   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 06-01-2017, 21:44
Caleb Sykes's Avatar
Caleb Sykes Caleb Sykes is offline
Registered User
FRC #4536 (MinuteBots)
Team Role: Mentor
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Rookie Year: 2009
Location: St. Paul, Minnesota
Posts: 1,055
Caleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond reputeCaleb Sykes has a reputation beyond repute
Re: paper: Comparison of Statistical Prediction Models

I have added Winning Margin Power Rating. The results are pretty bad, it is the worst of the models by a significant margin. I think that using only as many equations as matches causes this model to be far too overfit to have good predictive power.

I didn't include 2008-2010 because this model was unable to predict anything for the 2010 Israel Regional because insufficient matches were played.

I also added a correlation coefficient table to the "Data Summary and Methodology" book.
Reply With Quote