Quote:
Originally Posted by Eugene Fang
Something is going on that I don't understand. How are all of the prediction methods able to give predictions for matches where all teams haven't competed yet? I believe WM Elo carries over information from previous years, but I don't get how other predictors are able to give any prediction other than 50%.
Hope someone can explain. Thanks!
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I normalize scores between years using week 1 averages and standard deviations, and then carry over every team's rating year to year.