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Re: Will Alliances Win?
Yes. There will be very few teams which can hang 12 gears, and only a few who can get to 40 kPa by themselves. There are likely to be a handful of powerhouses who can do either in any match, but not both. Any team which can do both by itself in the same match with any consistency are likely to be as rare as ginger unicorns.
Alliances will win most qual matches, and essentially all elimination matches.
I expect defense to be important this year for the same reason it was in 2014 Aerial Assault - because while each task looks simple, there are problems that many teams will not discover until their first competition match, leaving them with little or no scoring capability. And most of those teams which are unable to do more offense than they can counter will get in the way, dump hoppers, disrupt scoring, and whatever else they can to slow down their opponents.
Climb will be essential. I don't think it's ever been easier, because you don't have to reach up to a rung but snag a rope within your allowable volume. (Though maybe I'm still missing something here.)
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